海湾战争与舰船维修

在论述舰船战时雏修保障重要作用的基础上,总结了美海军在海湾战争中实施战前检修及战时抢修的基本活动和经验,提出了我军舰船战时维修保障建设的基本思路及措施。     

三态部件的可靠性分析

本文给出完备的三态部件的可靠性模型类。从静态的观点来看,三态部件的可靠性模型有两类：（１）成功,降格成功,失败;（２）成功,双失败。从动态的观点来看,考虑到三个状态之间的转化关系,其模型类相对复杂;但是在失败率λ、维修率μ为常数的条件下,只需六个参数（λ１λ２λ３μ１μ２μ３）,便可以用马尔可夫模型给出三态部件的可靠性统一模型,并给出部件在三状态的概率函数Ｐｉ（ｔ）的解析表达式（ｔ为时间,ｉ表示状态）。     

利用主观数据建立维修模型

给出了在维修建模过程中用三个状态描述设备状态时,利用主观数据和客观数据建立维修模型的程序、方法和示例,所给方法可直接用于实际问题的建模。     

装甲车辆维修质量管理研究

结合维修改革试验试行资料和当前部队在维修方面存在的不足,从硬件和软件两部分,分析装甲车辆维修质量存在的问题及影响因素,提出加强维修理论教育,完善维修工艺标准,完善维修配套设施与设备,建立维修质量评估标准和数据信息系统的措施.     

美军“爱国者”导弹武器系统维修保障研究

美国及其他军事强国都将导弹武器系统维修保障作为每年国防投入的重点内容之一,维修保障也已成为国外军工企业拓展军品产业链、保障企业持续获得收入的重要业务之一。“爱国者”导弹武器系统作为美军防空的主战装备,研究维修保障主要做法能够揭示美军导弹武器系统维修保障状况。从“爱国者”导弹武器系统的两级维修体制、陆军延寿计划两大方面分析其维修保障的主要做法及未来发展趋势,对于持续提升我军导弹武器系统维修保障水平具有重要参考价值。     

不确定失效阈值影响下考虑设备剩余寿命预测信息的最优替换策略

为了进一步提升设备维修决策的科学性,通过建立综合设备剩余寿命预测数据与不确定失效阈值的最优维修决策模型,实现了不可维修设备的最优替换策略。构建基于非线性Wiener过程的设备性能退化模型,并采用极大似然法估计退化模型参数;提出一种基于期望最大(Expectation Maximization, EM)算法的不确定失效阈值分布系数估计方法,通过引入虚拟失效阈值数据实现对失效阈值分布系数的同步迭代更新;基于首达时的概念推导出不确定失效阈值条件下设备剩余寿命的概率密度函数,并基于更新报酬理论建立维修决策模型,从而实现设备的最优维修决策。算例分析表明,设备的失效阈值会对维修决策结果产生重要影响,考虑设备失效阈值的不确定性既有助于提升剩余寿命预测的准确性,又可以有效降低设备的寿命周期费用。     

通信对抗装备维修管理信息系统

通信对抗装备的性能越来越强、复杂程度越来越高 ,而维修保障方式和手段的落后制约了装备战斗力的发挥。因此 ,改善装备维修的手段 ,实现装备信息的科学管理就成为一项迫切需要解决的问题。从功能、构成和信息结构、信息管理和软件体系等方面介绍了一个装备维修管理信息系统的设计思想。     

Scheduling economic lot sizes in deteriorating production systems

The paper considers the economic lot scheduling problem (ELSP) where production facility is assumed to deteriorate, owing to aging, with an increasing failure rate. The time to shift from an “in‐control” state to an “out‐of‐control” state is assumed to be normally distributed. The system is scheduled to be inspected at the end of each production lot. If the process is found to be in an “out‐of‐control” state, then corrective maintenance is performed to restore it to an “in‐control” state before the start of the next production run. Otherwise, preventive maintenance is carried out to enhance system reliability. The ELSP is formulated under the capacity constraint taking into account the quality related cost due to possible production of non‐conforming items, process inspection, and maintenance costs. In order to find a feasible production schedule, both the common cycle and time‐varying lot sizes approaches are utilized. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 650–661, 2003     

Fleet management in European integration: the case of military helicopter support

The article focuses on both economics and spatial issues related to Maintenance Repair and Overhaul (MRO) of defence platforms in Europe. Using facts and figures related to costs, trends and fleet sizes evolution, the authors discuss the interest of a spatial reorganisation of MRO production. Given the fiscal situation of the main European countries with a modern army, the relevant scale to consider the reorganisation is certainly Europe. Through the example of defence helicopters fleets of a selection of European countries, the authors address the question of cooperation of the MRO. A greater cooperation in the support of fleets would lead to a spatial reorganisation of MRO. On one side economies can be expected from this reorganisation, but, on the other hand, new problems arise. Specifically, a number of costs associated with different forms of “distances” – geographical, operational and political distances – limit the potential savings that could be expected. This work provides insights on these important issues for the construction of a European defence, both in its political, military and industrial dimensions.